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Mar 6, 2019 10:50 AMPublication: The East Hampton Press

Study Predicts Southampton School District Student Population To Shrink 22 Percent Over Next Ten Years

Superintendent of Schools Nicholas Dyno, Board of Education President Donald King and District Clerk Amy Pierson at Tuesday's board meeting. ANISAH ABDULLAH
Mar 6, 2019 11:02 AM

Student enrollment in the Southampton School District is predicted to drop by 22 percent over the next 10 years, according to a recent study presented at Tuesday’s Board of Education meeting, leading board members and administrators to begin making adjustments for the future.

Superintendent Nicholas Dyno said at the meeting that the projected decrease will have a large impact on future school budgets and capital projects, including what type of office space will be needed for the district administration once a temporary lease for the current space expires in five years. The district also needs to take the projection into account when making decisions on staffing and programs, he added.

Administrators collect enrollment data within the district on a monthly basis, and the numbers for this school year are trending in the direction of the study. Total enrollment started at 1,605 students on the first day of school in September and is currently at 1,576 students this month, a loss of 29 students.

“It’s families moving out, rentals becoming higher cost in Southampton, and families moving to more affordable areas. That seems to be the majority of the trend,” Mr. Dyno said of this school year’s decrease. He added that most of the changes—students entering and leaving the district—occur at the high school level.

Board President Donald King said that revisions to the study within the past few months, resulting from comments made by the board, gave him more confidence in the current version.

“It’ll be interesting to see where the numbers fall in the next two or three years as we start to talk about another building for our [district office] and how that translates into all our capital projects,” Mr. King told the board.

The district requested the Western Suffolk BOCES Office of School Planning and Research to conduct a long-range planning study in order to prepare for the future. It focused on demographic and enrollment trends within the district, comparing them to trends in other local school districts, as well as municipalities like Southampton Town and Suffolk County.

Enrollment numbers have been relatively consistent from 2008 to the current school year, as described in the study, but are projected to decline each year during the next 10 years, from 2018 to 2028. The district is expected to lose a total of 334 students by 2028, with most of the losses occurring within the next five years.

A shifting age structure, higher average housing prices and fewer births were some of the key factors that researchers attributed to the decrease.

Within the district, the number of residents aged 40 and older is growing, while younger age groups are decreasing. The number of houses sold has fluctuated, but the median sales price has risen overall, to $1,949,000 in 2017, the highest of the 10-year prior. Housing data also indicated that more houses were being bought as seasonal residences.

The number of births declined by 23 percent between 2002 and 2016, following a trend in both Southampton Town and Southampton Village. Fewer births led to lower kindergarten enrollment levels, bringing in fewer students as kindergartners than those graduating as seniors. The kindergarten class this year had 70 students, the lowest number since 2008.

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Let's see one year ago they said the admission of approx 1600 would remain constant. (This was to get a new office) Now they will have 20% less students. Taxes should be down and an office unnecessary. Not to mention less emplyees.
By chief1 (2634), southampton on Mar 6, 19 4:18 PM
4 members liked this comment
Guess they are not counting the endless immigrants
By bigblue84 (76), Hampton Bays on Mar 6, 19 4:36 PM
Not counting the "Illegal" immigrants. If farmer's want to employ illegals. then they should pay higher school taxes to compensate for their school aged children and special ed programs needed.



By Walt (283), Southampton on Mar 13, 19 11:47 AM
They rent houses, the homeowners pay the taxes with the rent. Makes sense?
By The Royal 'We' (191), Southampton on Mar 14, 19 3:21 PM
$53,000,000 bond issue approved by voters in 2007 -primarily to expand the size of the elementary school because the studies showed student population increasing. Who is to be believed?
By SlimeAlive (1133), Southampton on Mar 6, 19 5:05 PM
But, they will still push for the 8k sq ft admin building.
By April1 (151), Southampton on Mar 6, 19 11:14 PM
Remember when the tourism lasted from June-Sept? Remember when Elm Street was mostly local ppl? Tourism is April-December. Elm st homes are mostly second homes? Of courses the school system will shrink down to 22percent. Locals an year rounders are leaving for affordable, quieter an less demanding lifestyles than that of here.
By toes in the water (754), southampton on Mar 7, 19 6:59 AM
That's what you get when you put dumb people on a school board, endless problem after problem.
By themarlinspike (203), southampton on Mar 7, 19 8:34 AM
That's what you get when you elect former educators to the school board. Do you think the number of teachers and administrators will decrease when the pupil enrollment does? Fat chance, I'd bet they increase.
By Walt (283), Southampton on Mar 13, 19 11:51 AM
Cant wait my taxes are going down 22%
By chief1 (2634), southampton on Mar 7, 19 10:39 AM
The Carolinas are still growing but move to Vermont or Florida instead!
By Baymen87 (126), Lugoff, SC on Mar 7, 19 11:25 AM
Good point Chief , will our taxes decrease as enrollment decreases? If not , why not?
By bigfresh (4150), north sea on Mar 7, 19 12:07 PM
School taxes are the single largest component of your property tax bill. I am therefore looking forward to a proportionate reduction in taxes as the budget is reduced, in relation to the student population needs.
By North Sea Citizen (520), North Sea on Mar 7, 19 2:33 PM
Start saving for the admin building. Can't keep renting. Board should have been saving for twenty years, Can't be spending and spending, Dad used to say save for the rainy days...
By knitter (1621), Southampton on Mar 7, 19 7:00 PM
Don't hold your breath waiting for the taxes to go down but rather expect for some strange reason the need for "administration" will go up and so will the salaries. Your kids are props used by griffters and con men to steal your money.
By Preliator Lives (373), Obamavillie on Mar 8, 19 11:19 AM
HERE'S A POSSIBLE SOLUTION -

MERGE THE TUCKAHOE STUDENTS INTO THE DISTRICT!!

Increase the enrollment. Include the true community of Southampton.

AND use the TUCKAHOE BUILDING as the ADMIN OFFICE!!!

WIN - WIN - WIN!!
By Shinnecock Hills family (57), Southampton on Mar 8, 19 12:07 PM
2 members liked this comment
Your common sense will not be tolerated.
By Preliator Lives (373), Obamavillie on Mar 8, 19 1:32 PM
The study results can be found on the SUFD website under Board docs. It reads as "Southampton Union Free School District Comprehensive Long Range Planning Study 2018-19"; but the header document reads "FARMINGDALE UNION FREE SCHOOL DISTRICT...".
By foodwhiner (135), Southampton on Mar 8, 19 2:33 PM
As middle class homes get sold because of people dying off or just moving out, the end result is flipped homes in the multi-million price range. Little chance that a young family, local or not can afford a home. The trade parade traffic will keep getting worse, as they're will be very little local working class left. Affordable housing for young locals will keep the town vibrant.
By Mets fan (1387), Southampton on Mar 8, 19 6:33 PM
1 member liked this comment
THANK YOU! As a young professional myself who grew up here and who would like to eventually raise a family in this community, I’m finding it nearly impossible to find a house that’s affordable. Every property starts out at $500,000 and it keeps rising. How can any young couple afford that? Even with 2 decent salaries, it’s still out of reach. This is a huge problem that the town board must continue to recognize. Builders also need more incentives to build small starter homes. The ...more
By Peter S (4), Hampton Bays on Mar 8, 19 7:08 PM
1 member liked this comment
Live where you can afford. Live below your means.
By chief1 (2634), southampton on Mar 9, 19 12:07 AM
And where exactly is that? Not everyone is willing to invest & raise a family in an area on LI with gang activity and bullets flying on a weekly basis. If you want hard working young people who grew up in this community to stay here, then there needs to be more incentives to keep them here. It’s not rocket science. What’s going to happen when all of the locals move away? Continually building massive 6 bedroom/4 bathroom houses that are vacant for 9 months out of the year doesn’t ...more
By Peter S (4), Hampton Bays on Mar 9, 19 10:22 PM
all the italians are moving out
By mellowman (5), east hampton on Mar 9, 19 6:39 PM
1 member liked this comment
It’s easy to see why people are leaving.
By SlimeAlive (1133), Southampton on Mar 10, 19 9:25 AM
1 member liked this comment
Peter S..... funny illegal aliens come here can't speak the language and somehow buy a house in Hampyon Bays. They work 6 or 7 days a week and work really hard. Problem is a lot of kids go to college spend 200k and waste 4 years of no income and cant get a job. Sometimes you need to work harder and longer unfortunately you think your entitled to something you cant afford.
By chief1 (2634), southampton on Mar 10, 19 10:54 AM
1 member liked this comment
what is 'the language' here in the USA? Sign language ?
By adlkjd923ilifmac.aladfksdurwp (632), southampton on Mar 10, 19 11:59 AM
The language of the Inited States is ENGLISH, comprende?
By bigfresh (4150), north sea on Mar 10, 19 12:13 PM
1 member liked this comment
it's not though
By adlkjd923ilifmac.aladfksdurwp (632), southampton on Mar 10, 19 4:05 PM
1 member liked this comment
If you don't speak English here, you are doomed to be po.
By bigfresh (4150), north sea on Mar 10, 19 5:29 PM
Reduction in school population would allow the "administration" to move into the actual school building. With fewer students, some space will be open for offices.
By localcitizen (100), Southampton on Mar 10, 19 5:42 PM
2 members liked this comment